diff --git a/index.html b/index.html
index 981c10d..fe9d8f9 100644
--- a/index.html
+++ b/index.html
@@ -370,6 +370,9 @@ async function updateWeather() {
     if (d.alerts && d.alerts.length) {
       html += ' <span class="wx-alert">⚠️ ' + d.alerts.join(', ') + '</span>';
     }
+    if (d.tropical) {
+      html += ' <span class="wx-alert">🌀 ' + d.tropical + '</span>';
+    }
     document.getElementById('weather-line').innerHTML = html;
   } catch(e) {}
 }
diff --git a/server.js b/server.js
index f728564..706ec59 100644
--- a/server.js
+++ b/server.js
@@ -123,24 +123,68 @@ app.get('/api/weather', async (req, res) => {
     result.high = parseInt(today.maxtempF);
     result.low = parseInt(today.mintempF);
 
-    // NWS severe alerts
-    const nws = await new Promise((resolve, reject) => {
-      const r = require('https').get('https://api.weather.gov/alerts/active?point=27.7676,-82.6403', {
-        headers: { 'User-Agent': 'james-dashboard' }
-      }, (resp) => {
-        let body = '';
-        resp.on('data', c => body += c);
-        resp.on('end', () => { try { resolve(JSON.parse(body)); } catch(e) { reject(e); } });
+    // NWS severe alerts (imminent)
+    try {
+      const nws = await new Promise((resolve, reject) => {
+        const r = require('https').get('https://api.weather.gov/alerts/active?point=27.7676,-82.6403', {
+          headers: { 'User-Agent': 'james-dashboard' }
+        }, (resp) => {
+          let body = '';
+          resp.on('data', c => body += c);
+          resp.on('end', () => { try { resolve(JSON.parse(body)); } catch(e) { reject(e); } });
+        });
+        r.on('error', reject);
+        r.setTimeout(10000, () => { r.destroy(); reject(new Error('timeout')); });
       });
-      r.on('error', reject);
-      r.setTimeout(10000, () => { r.destroy(); reject(new Error('timeout')); });
-    });
-    for (const f of (nws.features || [])) {
-      const event = (f.properties.event || '').toLowerCase();
-      if (SEVERE_EVENTS.some(s => event.includes(s))) {
-        result.alerts.push(f.properties.event);
+      for (const f of (nws.features || [])) {
+        const event = (f.properties.event || '').toLowerCase();
+        if (SEVERE_EVENTS.some(s => event.includes(s))) {
+          result.alerts.push(f.properties.event);
+        }
       }
-    }
+    } catch(e) {}
+
+    // NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (7-day formation, hurricane season)
+    try {
+      const twoHtml = await new Promise((resolve, reject) => {
+        const r = require('https').get('https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml', {
+          headers: { 'User-Agent': 'james-dashboard' }
+        }, (resp) => {
+          let body = '';
+          resp.on('data', c => body += c);
+          resp.on('end', () => resolve(body));
+        });
+        r.on('error', reject);
+        r.setTimeout(10000, () => { r.destroy(); reject(new Error('timeout')); });
+      });
+      const preMatch = twoHtml.match(/<pre>([\s\S]*?)<\/pre>/);
+      if (preMatch) {
+        const text = preMatch[1].replace(/<[^>]+>/g, '');
+        // Skip if off-season / "not expected"
+        if (!text.includes('formation is not expected')) {
+          // Extract formation probabilities
+          const lines = text.split('\n');
+          const formations = [];
+          for (let i = 0; i < lines.length; i++) {
+            const pctMatch = lines[i].match(/(\d+)\s*percent/i);
+            if (pctMatch && parseInt(pctMatch[1]) >= 20) {
+              // Find nearby context about Gulf/Caribbean
+              const context = lines.slice(Math.max(0, i-3), i+2).join(' ');
+              const loc = context.match(/Gulf|Caribbean|Atlantic|Florida|Bahamas/i);
+              formations.push({
+                pct: parseInt(pctMatch[1]),
+                location: loc ? loc[0] : 'Atlantic',
+                text: lines[i].trim()
+              });
+            }
+          }
+          if (formations.length) {
+            const worst = formations.sort((a,b) => b.pct - a.pct)[0];
+            result.tropical = `${worst.pct}% tropical development (${worst.location}, 7-day)`;
+          }
+        }
+      }
+    } catch(e) {}
 
     weatherCache = { data: result, ts: Date.now() };
     res.json(result);