clawd/drafts/vault1984-pricing.md

7.5 KiB
Raw Blame History

vault1984 — Pricing Plan

March 2026


The strategic goal

Pricing must make competition economically irrational at every tier. A competitor needs to out-price, out-cover, out-encrypt, and out-agent-support vault1984 simultaneously. That's not a startup problem — it's an impossibility.

The model is volume. Near-zero marginal cost means every dollar of revenue is margin. The job of pricing is to remove friction from adoption, not to maximize per-user revenue.


The market landscape

Product Individual Notes
1Password $36/year Market leader, premium positioned
Dashlane $33/year Declining market share
Keeper $35/year Security-focused
NordPass $24/year VPN bundle play
Bitwarden Premium $10/year Open source, price leader
Bitwarden Free $0 The real competition
Apple/Google built-in $0 Biggest consumer competitor

The real floor is $0. Apple Keychain and Google Password Manager are free and good enough for most consumers. vault1984 doesn't compete with them on price — it competes on agent support, which they don't have, and encryption model, which they don't care about.

The relevant paid competitor is Bitwarden at $10/year. vault1984 at $12/year is actually $2 MORE than Bitwarden. That needs a justification — which is the agent story and the encryption model.


Is $12 the right number?

Arguments for $12/year:

  • "$1 a month" is a clean, memorable pitch
  • Below every competitor except Bitwarden and free tiers
  • Makes price a non-conversation at any sales stage
  • The launch price — can be raised later once established

Arguments against $12/year:

  • More expensive than Bitwarden Premium ($10/year) — needs clear differentiation to justify
  • At $12/year, reaching $1M ARR requires 83,333 paying users. That's achievable but not trivial.
  • No room for a launch discount (can't go lower without giving the product away)

The alternative: $24/year ($2/month)

  • Still far below every competitor except Bitwarden free
  • "Two dollars a month" is still an easy yes
  • Doubles revenue per user — $1M ARR at 41,667 users instead of 83,333
  • Leaves room for a launch promotion: "First year $12, then $24"
  • More defensible against "why are you more expensive than Bitwarden?"

Recommendation: Launch at $12/year, standard price $24/year. Use $12 as the permanent early-adopter/launch price, visible on the page as a strikethrough: $24 $12/year — launch price. Creates urgency, rewards early adopters, and gives a path to sustainable pricing without a price hike surprise.


Full pricing structure

Free tier — Yes or no?

The case for free:

  • Bitwarden's success was built on a robust free tier. People adopt free, recommend to paid users.
  • Cost to serve a free user: ~$0 (SQLite, minimal compute)
  • Free users seed the team and enterprise funnel

The case against free:

  • Complicates support and operations
  • "Free" attracts users who will never pay
  • vault1984's differentiator (agent support, encryption model) is most valuable to paying users
  • Bitwarden has free forever — competing on free is fighting on their turf

Verdict: 30-day trial, no free tier. Let people experience the full product without commitment. After 30 days: pay or export your data. Clean. No free-rider problem.


Individual

Price $12/year launch ($24 standard)
What's included Unlimited entries, all three encryption tiers, MCP agent access, browser extension, mobile apps, import/export, daily backups, email support
What's not Shared vaults, admin console, SSO

The pitch: A dollar a month. The only password manager built for AI agents. If your AI coding agent ever needs a credential, this is the answer.


Team

Price $3/user/month (billed annually)
Minimum 2 users
What's included Everything in Individual + shared vaults, team admin console, audit log, centralized billing
What's not SSO, SCIM, SLA

The pitch: A 10-person team pays $360/year. No procurement needed. Credit card. Done.

Note: $3/user/month is slightly above the previously discussed $2.50 — reflects that team features add genuine value (shared vaults, admin) and this is still far below every competitor.


Business (MME)

Price $5/user/month (billed annually)
Minimum 10 users
What's included Everything in Team + SSO (SAML/OIDC), SCIM provisioning, priority support, audit log export
What's not Custom SLA, dedicated support, custom contracts

The pitch: A 50-person company pays $3,000/year. 1Password charges $10,800 for the same. No negotiation required.

Note: SSO is the unlock for this tier. Price jumps from $3 to $5 at the SSO boundary — SSO is expensive to build and support, and enterprises expect it. This is justified.


Enterprise

Price $5/user/month + custom
Minimum 100 users
What's included Everything in Business + custom SLA, dedicated support contact, compliance documentation package (SOC 2, security questionnaire support), custom contract
Pricing $5/user/month is the floor; large deployments negotiate volume

The pitch: 1,000 seats at $5/user/month = $60,000/year. Competitors charge $84,000$168,000. The CFO doesn't hold a meeting. They just sign.


MSP (wholesale)

Price $1.50/user/month wholesale
Requires Commercial MSP license (separate from ELv2)
Minimum 50 managed seats
What's included Full Business tier for managed clients, multi-tenant admin console, white-label optional

The MSP math: Buy at $1.50, sell at $46. 100 clients × 20 users = 2,000 seats = $3,0009,000/month margin. vault1984 earns $3,000/month from that MSP.


Revenue model at scale

Segment Users/Seats Price ARR
Individual 300,000 $12/yr $3.6M
Team 50,000 seats $3/mo $1.8M
Business 30,000 seats $5/mo $1.8M
Enterprise 20,000 seats $5/mo $1.2M
MSP wholesale 200,000 seats $1.50/mo $3.6M
Total $12M ARR

At 8x ARR multiple: $96M valuation.


Launch promotion

The LastPass offer: Free lifetime account for breach plaintiffs. This is not a pricing tier — it's a PR move. The cost is near-zero. The return is press coverage, credibility, and brand positioning.

Early adopter pricing: $12/year for the first 12 months of the product's life. After that, $24/year for new signups. Early adopters are locked in at $12 forever (their loyalty built the product).


What we don't do

No per-agent pricing. The agent story is the differentiator — taxing it would punish exactly the use case we want to grow. MCP access is included in all paid tiers.

No feature-gating the encryption model. Credential and Identity Encryption are available on all tiers. Security is not a premium feature.

No freemium. 30-day trial, then pay. Clean. No free-rider infrastructure burden, no support complexity.


Open questions for Johan

  1. $12 or $24 as standard individual price? Or $12 launch, $24 after 12 months?
  2. Free tier? 30-day trial recommended, but worth discussing.
  3. Is $3/user/month right for teams, or stick with $2.50?
  4. SSO included in Business at $5, or is that too aggressive a price jump from Team?
  5. MSP minimum seat count — 50 is the proposal; could go higher or lower.

Draft — George for Johan.